Pattern

The Lindy Effect

The longer something has been around, the longer it is likely to stay around.

How to use it. A reasonable starting bias for technology choices. Boring technology is boring for a reason.

How it gets misused. Used to defend never changing anything. Lindy is only a starting bias. Sometimes the long-lived thing really is past its time.

Pattern Hype Cycle / Amara's Law We overestimate how much a new technology will change things in the short term. We underestimate how much it will change things in the long term.

Clusters

The Adoption cluster - Why technology arrives unevenly, and what to do about it.

The Lindy Effect

Related

Clusters